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The gold market is experiencing a slight price decrease, as shown by the 0.7% dip in spot gold, easing to $1,951.19 per ounce, and U.S. gold futures dropping 1.1% to $1,950.30 on August 1, 2023. This dip has been associated with the strengthening of the dollar index, which reached a three-week high, as well as the rise in 10-year U.S. Treasury yields, both of which have lessened the demand for gold as a safe-haven investment.
Furthermore, as of August 1, 2023, the spot market for gold reported bid/ask prices at $1,942.40 / $1,943.40, signifying a decrease of 1.18%. However, over the past year, there has been an overall increase of 9.59% in the gold price.
Despite this recent decline, some analysts remain bullish about the future of gold. Credit Suisse, for instance, maintains a bullish stance, predicting a major floor at $1,883, and expects the gold price to retest record highs at $2,063/$2,075. They further anticipate new record highs later in the year, followed by a potential rise to $2,150, then $2,355/65. Trading Economics also predicts gold to trade at $1,982.51 USD/t oz. by the end of the quarter and at $2,055.38 in 12 months.
Regarding demand, there has been a decline in gold ETFs, with net outflows of US$3.7bn (56t) observed in June 2023, thereby ending a three-month inflow streak and causing negative demand for global gold ETFs in the first half of 2023. However, despite this dip, some analysts believe that China’s plans to restore and expand consumption may still support demand for physical gold.
Overall, the gold market is currently undergoing some fluctuations due to a variety of factors, including the strengthening of the US dollar, changes in treasury yields, and economic outlook. Despite a recent dip, several analysts remain optimistic about the potential for growth in the gold market. It’s important to continue monitoring key events and data releases, such as the U.S. Federal Reserve meeting minutes and U.S. jobs report, that may significantly impact this market.
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